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When
Kaczyński’s Law and Justice (PiS) party came to power last year, it immediately
seized control over key Polish institutions, including the Constitutional
Tribunal, the state prosecutor’s office, public media and enterprises, even
state-owned horse stables. Because the PiS government inherited a sound economy
and strong fiscal position, Kaczyński hasn’t seen the need for a finance
minister, so the post was recently liquidated.
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protests
Trump, too,
has been engaging in behavior that under normal circumstances would be
politically disqualifying: attacking the parents of a Muslim-American soldier
killed in combat, mocking a disabled reporter, and impugning Senator John
McCain for being captured during the Vietnam War (he was held and tortured for
more than five years). Everyone was outraged, except for Trump’s voters.
This state
of affairs might have continued. But both Kaczyński and Trump have recently
been confronted by a political force that neither reckoned with: women.
Before last
year’s parliamentary election in Poland, the far-right organization Ordo Iuris
had proposed a blanket ban on abortion, one that would go beyond Poland’s
current legislation, already among the most restrictive in Europe, by forcing
women to give birth even in cases of rape, incest, health risks, and serious
fetal defects. But, at the same time, another legislative proposal was put
forward to liberalize abortion laws, introduce sex education into schools, and
guarantee insurance coverage of contraceptives.
Although
PiS solemnly promised that the Sejm (parliament) would not reject the latter
bill in the first reading, the legislation criminalizing abortion was advanced
to a parliamentary vote, and the pro-choice proposition was rejected. Women
spontaneously took to the streets en masse.
For nearly
two decades, Poles believed that the country’s abortion laws could not be
changed, owing to the power of the Catholic Church and the subordination of the
political class to religious authorities. But the actress Krystyna Janda, who
starred in Andrzej Wajda’s film Man of Iron, called on Polish women to launch a
general strike. On October 3, instead of going to work, women across the
country turned out to protest, following a model established by Iceland’s women
in 1975, when 90% did not go to work and effectively paralyzed the country.
The
demonstrations occurred even in small towns, and despite dismal weather. Women
also congregated outside PiS headquarters, the true seat of power in Polish
politics. In solidarity with Polish women, women from Kenya to Berlin
took to the streets dressed in black.
For the
first time since PiS’s return to power last year, Kaczyński was frightened. The
next day, he had his party vote to reject the anti-abortion proposal. Never
before had he acted in a similar manner.
In the United States,
Trump’s presidential campaign began to crumble only when it was revealed that
he boasted about sexually assaulting women. Soon, women who had endured his
attacks began to come forward and describe what had happened to them.
Trump’s
spell was broken. Independent voters – and many Republicans – bolted. Michelle
Obama delivered an emotional address about how Trump’s behavior had shaken her,
speaking in a way that Trump’s opponent, Hillary Clinton, cannot because of the
complicated history of her own marriage. Support for Trump, particularly among
suburban women, crashed. According to recent polls, his backing from women
plummeted from 39% to 29% over the course of a couple of days.
And yet
neither Trump nor Kaczyński seems willing – or perhaps able – to reverse
course. After withdrawing his support for the Ordo Iuris proposal, Kaczyński
couldn’t leave the issue alone. “We will strive to ensure that even pregnancies
that are very difficult, when the child is doomed to die or is seriously
deformed, are brought to term so that the child can be baptized, buried, and
given a name,” he announced on October 13. Women have called for another
general strike on October 24.
Perhaps
Kaczyński has always been inclined to self-destruction. As Prime Minister in
2007, he handed power to his opponents on a silver platter, by attacking his
coalition partner, the Samoobrona party, and calling for an early election. Once
again, it appears that Kaczyński is his own greatest nemesis.
This time,
Kaczyński (who holds no official government position) first united the
political mainstream (whom he dubbed “the worst sort” of Poles) against him by
attacking liberal democracy. Now, by pressing his war on women, who form a majority
in Poland,
he has united the mainstream with the left and politicized and galvanized the
country’s youth. Immediately after Kaczyński’s latest comments, women began to
gather in front of his house, warning him: “You want to peer into our beds? We’ll
peer into your home.”
According
to an opinion poll by the newspaper Rzeczpospolita, 69% of Poles support the
so-called black protest that women have mounted. If the October 24 strike is
larger than the spontaneous demonstrations of October 3, support for PiS will
surely drop significantly for the first time since it assumed power, and Poland will
find itself in a new political situation.
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Trump, too,
has doubled down on sexism, blaming the media for his travails and calling one
of his accusers “that horrible woman,” adding, “Believe me, she would not be my
first choice.” And, appealing directly to his many white-supremacist supporters
among the so-called alt-right, he has also begun indulging a classic
anti-Semitic trope, accusing Clinton of meeting
“in secret with international banks to plot the destruction of US sovereignty
in order to enrich these global financial powers.”
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