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While these
reasons were all valid during a decade of high growth, this organizational
journey also led to substantial complexity for large players—adding cost,
stifling innovation, and slowing down decision making (Exhibit 1). At the same
time, independents like BG Group, Devon Energy, and EOG Resources grew
increasingly successful in exploration and unconventional plays, but they still
struggled to scale operations without copying the bureaucratic operating models
of the majors.
Three
game-changing trends are reshaping the industry
This organizational
model is no longer sustainable with oil prices below $50 a barrel. More
important, though, it is no longer necessary. We are now entering a time of
great change, with major societal, technological, and political trends
reshaping the environment in which oil and gas companies operate. We see three
potentially game-changing disruptions that will lead oil and gas companies to
rethink their operating models fundamentally:
1. A world of resource abundance is
leading to sustained lower oil prices and a focus on cost, efficiency, and
speed. Talent is no longer scarce, exploration capability is less of a
differentiator, megaprojects are not the only way to grow, and market
opportunities may only be economical for the earliest movers in a basin. Meanwhile,
conventional, deepwater, unconventional, and renewable assets each require a
distinct operating model that cannot be delivered optimally from a single
corporate center.
2. Profound
technological advances are disrupting old ways of working and enabling step
changes in productivity. Jobs, including knowledge work, are being replaced by
automation on a large scale, and those that remain require increased
human–machine interaction. Data generation continues to grow exponentially, as
every physical piece of equipment wants to connect with the cloud. This
explosion of data—combined with advanced analytics and machine learning to
harness it—creates opportunities to fundamentally reimagine how and where work
gets done.
3.
Demographic shifts mean that employees are demanding changes in the working
environment and expressing concerns about the role of oil and gas companies in
society. Millennials will constitute a majority of the US workforce by
the early 2020s and have already started their climb into management and even
executive roles. “Digital natives” in the driver’s seat will bring their own
expectations of technology, collaboration, pace, and accountability. Oil and
gas companies may need more profound changes to meet demands for meaningful
work and social responsibility to attract the next generation of top
engineering and leadership talent.
Read the full report here.
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